Bait

BetTrojan.com seems to have the best odds I've seen for the Steelers, +3 +110. This means that a player wanting the Steelers gets three points and risks $100 to win $110. Sounds extraordinary. And according to SportsInsights.com, the majority of bets are taking the points and the Steelers.

Before you click to your favorite online sandbox, consider the following:

In this season's NFL PLayoffs SU winners are 8-0 ATS.

What this means is that if you are considering betting the Steelers, consider the moneyline, becasue if they come within three, they'll probably win the game outright.

And on the moneyline the Steelers are +155.

Here are your choices: Risk $100 to win $110 (and get three points you probably won't need), or risk $100 to win $155. It's stark when you look at it this way.

Of course, the possibility exists that Denver will win the game 21-20, or 23-21, or something like that. But history says it's unlikely. Most likely is that the winner will cover. If it's Pittsburgh, the moneyline is the way to go. If it's Denver, laying the points is the value play.