Saturday NFL Value

Washington had been a pretty impressive offense over the final few weeks of the regular season, so it was a real head-scratcher when the Redskins set an all-time NFL record for fewest total yards of offense for a winning team in a playoff game last week at Tampa.

For sure, 130 yards will not keep the 'Skins in the game at Seattle.

So the question is: which Redskins offense will show up?

My analysis leans towards the potent one. I model this game as a 4-point Seattle win, almost a full touchdown closer than the linemakers.

Redskins +9'.

Last week I pontificated at length about how the team that covers also ususally wins in the NFL playoffs. So my advice here should be to take the Skins on the moneyline and get the +345 odds. That's a risky play because Seattle is rested and Washington has basically been playing playoff games for the last six weeks. I think this will be a tight game all the way, and wouldn't be surprised to see Seattle win 24-20. So I'm comfortable with this game being the exception to my rule.

New England is playing it's best football of the season, especaily on the defensive side. Jake Plummer is not a QB known for big-time post season performance. But the Pats are dinged up a little bit and may have a tough time against a Denver defense which is very good.

NE/Den Under 44